Baseline Scenario
Baseline Scenario
Baseline Scenario

Futuring

Baseline Scenario

The Baseline Scenario assumes that the changes already underway will keep moving ahead.

Futuring

Baseline Scenario

The Baseline Scenario assumes that the changes already underway will keep moving ahead.

Futuring

Baseline Scenario

The Baseline Scenario assumes that the changes already underway will keep moving ahead.

Scenario Summary

Welcome to 2033. Education is now completely centralised at a national level due to productivity pressures; the curriculum is highly structured and education technology has delivered clear output, administrative efficiencies and consistent assessment metrics. The role of teacher has fast become one of 'instructing' a tightly defined syllabus as national policymakers continues to focus in on assessment testing as evidence of reform. However the centralisation of the education system has not led to an increase in productivity given the changing work environment. As the pace of edtech growth increases further, the rise of increasingly complex global markets and productivity begins to set a new pace . . the Australian education system begins to significantly lag behind its global counterparts.

The major strategic question this scenario raises for me is:
What if . . the solve is actually human?